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The teams least successful against preseason tiebreakers are Pittsburgh’s longtime AFC North and former AFC Central rivals Cleveland. Since 1989, the Cleveland Browns have beaten their preseason game by just nine over/under nines in 31 seasons — no other team in the league has done that low.
The 2013 Houston Texans had their worst single-season over/under win against a preseason game. That Texans team started the year with two wins and then lost 14 straight games to end the season, It ended 2-14 And it’s 8 wins away from their 10. After Houston just won back-to-back AFC South titles and ended the franchise’s best 12-4 season, the prospects for the preseason are bright.
Ultimately, preseason wins and losses seem largely conservative. Franchises with consistent success in places like Pittsburgh, Green Bay, and New England usually beat their over/under. Meanwhile, less successful teams struggled to beat their over/under. It makes sense; oddsmakers are less inclined to set bold win-loss sizes, but rather a median line that represents the propensity of the average bettor.
This story originally appeared on OddsSeeker and was produced and published in partnership with Stacker Studio.
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