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“The United Arab Emirates will not join either side”.This is one of the main Conclusions from experts such as Anwar GargashCabinet advisor to United Arab Emirates President Mohamed bin Zayed.
The statement by diplomatic analysts comes as the rift between the West and the Eastern bloc is deepening, Since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine and the shift of the US-China dispute to the Pacific.
For the United Arab Emirates, the issue has become even hotter since it joined the OPEC+ roadmap, which is closely involved with Saudi Arabia and decided not to increase oil production, sending prices down despite U.S. demands. Ukrainian war leads to sharp rise in hydrocarbon prices, But the group that controls most of the world’s oil decided to maintain its production estimates.
The United Arab Emirates rationalized its decision as purely economic, No political intention to favor Russia in dispute. The idea was reinforced at a geopolitical forum in Abu Dhabi. The UAE wants to be seen as a bridge between East and West. Maintain an ambiguous position between the poles of the world and put self-interest first.
The UAE wants the best of both worlds and is well aware that its relationship with one of the poles should not deprive the other of its care. As for the United States, it is worth noting the significant involvement of this American giant in the security of the small Gulf states. Although the UAE has been dubbed Little Sparta, U.S. intervention in the region remains necessary for the security of Arab states given its military capabilities relative to its territorial size. Its main threats, the Houthi rebels in Iran and Yemen, Still, it is seen as a threat that the UAE and its allies cannot tackle alone.
Maintaining an ambiguous position is a policy that is difficult to balance. UAE interested in advanced arms cooperation projects China’s massive advances in the Gulf complicate relations with the United States from an investment perspective.
Washington senators and military experts have said the UAE would not be able to participate in projects such as the F-35 because of China’s level of involvement in the country’s infrastructure.Congress and all branches of politics in the deep state don’t like it UAE reaffirms its support for one-China policy House Speaker Nancy Pelosi while visiting Taiwan and meeting with the administration in Taipei.
In the public opinion of the Gulf countries, more and more people believe that the future foreign policy of the country should give more priority to China and Russia and benefit the relationship with them. Currently, And the UAE government’s attempts at balancing and opportunism are still lurkingIn the future, it remains to be seen how its position will evolve in the face of the US-China struggle for global hegemony.
Coordinator for the Americas: José Antonio Sierra.
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