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France: A new report shows that by 2030, 600 million heat pumps could be installed to cover 20% of building heating needs.
According to a new report from the International Energy Agency (IEA), in the Net Zero Emissions Scenario to 2050 (NZE Scenario), high-efficiency electric heat pumps are the main technology driving the building sector to reduce heating emissions.
The IEA expects the number of heat pumps installed globally to increase from 180 million in 2020 to around 600 million in 2030. This is based on forecasts for a rapid increase of heat pumps from 1.5 million units per month currently to around 5 million units by 2030.
With the complete phase-out of new fossil fuel boilers by 2025 – a key milestone in the NZE scenario – heat pumps combined with energy storage will absorb fluctuations in variable renewable power generation, which will enable around 40% of electricity Photovoltaic and wind power generated by solar energy by 2030.
The IEA maintains that heat pumps are more energy efficient than other renewable and conventional building technologies, including low-emission hydrogen and biomass boilers.
Furthermore, it considers heat pumps as multi-service providers as they can provide heating, cooling and dehumidification needs.
The analysis is part of a new IEA report series, Technology and innovation pathways to zero carbon-ready buildings by 2030and provides a strategic vision from IEA Technical Cooperation Programme (TCP) experts on how to help achieve some of the most impactful short-term milestones for the building sector outlined in the IEA’s Net Zero Roadmap to 2050.
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