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As air travel demand continues to recover this year, demand for airline pilots will outstrip supply in most parts of the world between 2022 and 2024, with the Middle East being hit first, a report said.
A surge in demand for air travel due to layoffs amid the Covid-19 pandemic coincides with a flat and then declining supply of pilots in the region, according to the latest update on pilot shortages in the aviation industry from global management consultancy Oliver Wyman. The 2019 pandemic saw the number of newly certified pilots drop, and retirees eventually outnumbered new pilots.
The regional shortage could begin as early as the end of this year, and without accelerated mitigation measures, it is expected to reach 3,000 pilots by 2023 and 18,000 by 2032.
André Martins, International, Middle East and Africa (IMEA) Transportation and Services Leader, Oliver Wyman Shortages outside of North America impacted the fastest.”
“If demand for air travel continues to grow, airlines will need to accelerate hiring from other regions where we expect less shortages, particularly Latin America and Asia Pacific, to fill vacancies. Failing this, we may Seeing schedule adjustments to and from the region impacting airlines and airport operators in the Middle East,” Martins added.
Oliver Wyman predicted in early 2021 that a pilot shortage was imminent, contrary to the reality at the time, as Covid-19 was decimating the aviation industry and any recovery would take years. We now predict that the global aviation industry will be short of nearly 80,000 pilots by 2032 due to no future decline in demand or air travel and/or the industry’s hard work to increase the supply of pilots. – arab trade news agency
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