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On Thursday, September 23, 2021, a bulldozer parked near a coal pile at the Peabody Energy Francisco Coal Mine in Francisco, Indiana, USA.
Luke Charrett | Bloomberg | Getty Images
London-as world leaders prepare One of the most important climate summits ever, United Nations-supported research shows that governments are jointly planning to mine more fossil fuels than the global climate target.
The annual production gap report of the United Nations Environment Programme, Released on Wednesday, Found that the level of fossil fuels that governments are expected to produce in 2030 is more than twice the level required to raise global temperatures below 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
A week before the COP26 climate summit, politicians and business leaders were under tremendous pressure to fulfill the promises made as part of the landmark 2015 Paris Agreement to meet the needs of the climate emergency.
The Paris climate agreement aims to limit global warming to “well below” 2 degrees Celsius, and it is best to limit warming to a threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Although every part of the degree is important, the ideal target of 1.5 degrees Celsius is considered particularly important, because beyond this level, The so-called tipping point becomes more likely.
The UNEP report found that most major oil and gas producers plan to increase production in 2030 and beyond, while several major coal producers also plan to continue or increase production.
By the end of the decade, the government’s production plans and forecasts are expected to increase by approximately 240% coal, 57% oil, and 71% natural gas compared to limiting the global heating temperature to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
Survey results Reiterate the yawn gap Between meaningful climate action and policymakers and business leaders publicly promoting their commitment to the so-called “energy transition.”
Fossil fuel policy support
The burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and natural gas is the main driver of the climate crisis. However, although many countries have put forward a series of net zero emission targets and increased their commitments, some of the largest oil, gas, and coal producers have failed to outline how they plan to significantly reduce the use of fossil fuels.
The world’s leading climate scientist Warning in early August Without immediate, rapid and large-scale reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, limiting global warming to a range close to 1.5 degrees Celsius or even 2 degrees Celsius will not be achieved in the next 20 years.
UNEP emphasized this point again, pointing out that global fossil fuel production is “severely out of sync” with the restrictions of the Paris Agreement. It stated that the use of global fossil fuels must immediately begin to decline sharply in order to be consistent with limiting long-term warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
The report analyzes 15 major fossil fuel producing countries: Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Norway, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom and United States
The climate plans of the countries analyzed show that oil, natural gas and coal production is expected to increase by at least 2040.
According to the report, according to the government’s plan, among the three fossil fuels, natural gas production is expected to increase the most between 2020 and 2040.
On Friday, September 17, 2021, the oil rig was working on a platform in Gaoyou Lake, Gaoyou City, Jiangsu Province, eastern China.
Barcroft Media | Getty Images
According to the report, most governments continue to provide important policy support for fossil fuel production. Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, the G20 countries have provided approximately US$300 billion in new funding for fossil fuel activities. To be sure, this is more than their direction for renewable energy.
Research Publish In the September 9th scientific journal Nature, it was discovered that most of the world’s known fossil fuel reserves must be kept underground in order to hopefully prevent the worst effects of climate change.
It follows a Blockbuster report From the influential but generally conservative International Energy Agency earlier this year. The International Energy Agency concluded that if the world is to achieve net zero emissions of fossil fuels by 2050, there should be no new oil, natural gas or coal development.
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