UAE Ramadan Weather 2026: Stable Conditions Expected, No Major Cooling Trend
Dubai, UAE — As the holy month of Ramadan unfolds across the United Arab Emirates, many residents are wondering whether the weather will bring relief from warm daytime temperatures or if conditions will remain largely unchanged in the coming days. According to the country’s official weather authority, the forecast suggests stable conditions rather than any major cooling trend—meaning residents should not expect a significant drop in temperatures during this period.
Current Weather Outlook
The National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) says general weather patterns over the next several days will be relatively steady. Meteorologist Dr. Ahmed Habib explains that there is no significant change in the atmospheric pressure systems affecting the UAE at present, which is the primary reason that temperatures are expected to stay consistent.
Forecast models show daytime temperatures lingering around 30–31°C in many parts of the country over the next five to six days. Coastal regions, influenced by breezes from the sea, will see a slightly cooler range of highs, typically between 24–29°C.
Night-time temperatures will feel more refreshing inland, where they are expected to dip to around 12–15°C. Meanwhile, coastal cities like Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Sharjah can expect nighttime lows of roughly 20–21°C, offering pleasant conditions for evening prayers and social outings just before iftar.
Despite occasional days in recent weeks when temperatures soared to about 35°C, meteorologists emphasise that these higher readings are driven by a shift to south-westerly winds—a trend expected to persist in the short term.
What Ramadan Weather Typically Looks Like
Climatological data for this time of year shows that weather conditions in March—which overlaps with much of Ramadan—usually range from moderate to warm. Average daytime maximum temperatures historically fall between 26°C and 32°C, although extremes can push inland areas above 40°C during the hottest part of the afternoon.
Night and early morning temperatures generally remain comfortable, averaging between 18°C and 21°C. In some desert or elevated inland locations—particularly near mountainous areas—early morning lows can occasionally fall near freezing, depending on specific weather patterns.
The NCM points out that this transitional period between winter and spring is often shaped by the influence of the Siberian high-pressure system. When this system weakens, it can allow low-pressure zones to move in from the east or west, potentially increasing cloud cover and the chance of localized rainfall. However, this month’s long-term forecasts suggest that rainfall totals are likely to remain close to or below the seasonal average of around 8 mm.
Fog, Humidity and Wind Patterns
As temperatures remain stable, humidity levels are expected to rise during the night and early morning hours, which is typical for this transition from winter to warmer months. High humidity during these times often leads to the formation of fog or mist, particularly in western and northern parts of the country. This week, some western regions have already experienced dense fog that significantly reduced visibility.
Dr. Habib notes that fog is forecast to linger in western areas through mid-week before extending towards the northern and coastal regions—especially around February 22–23.
In terms of wind patterns, the NCM expects a typical sea-and-land breeze cycle: southeasterly winds at night and during the morning, shifting to northwesterly by afternoon and evening. Average wind speeds are moderate, at around 13 km/h, but occasional gusts may occur if pressure systems strengthen, potentially stirring up dust in exposed desert locations.
Regional Variations
The UAE’s diverse geography creates noticeable regional variations in Ramadan weather:
Dubai and Sharjah:
Coastal cities will benefit from sea breezes that moderate daytime temperatures. Expect highs around 28-30°C and comfortable evenings near 21°C, ideal for evening strolls and outdoor iftars.
Abu Dhabi:
Similar coastal moderation applies, with daytime temperatures slightly lower than inland areas. The capital’s waterfront areas will be particularly pleasant during evening hours.
Northern Emirates:
Ras Al Khaimah and Fujairah may experience slightly different conditions due to mountain influences. Daytime temperatures similar to coastal areas, with cooler nights in elevated locations.
Inland and desert areas:
Al Ain and other inland locations will see the widest temperature swings—hotter days near 31-32°C and significantly cooler nights dropping to 12-15°C. Those camping or spending time in desert areas should prepare for the evening chill.
Ramadan Fasting and Weather Conditions
For those observing fasting this month, weather conditions during daylight hours may feel moderate to warm rather than excessively hot, especially in shaded areas. This means that while the sun’s heat will be noticeable, the overall feeling should remain bearable for typical outdoor activities, including prayer, errands, or late-afternoon walks before iftar.
Tips for fasting during moderate temperatures:
Stay hydrated during non-fasting hours
Seek shade during peak afternoon sun
Wear light, breathable clothing
Plan outdoor activities for cooler morning or evening hours
Be mindful of sun exposure despite moderate temperatures
Additionally, fasting hours at the start of Ramadan are approximately 12 hours and 46 minutes each day. These will gradually lengthen to about 13 hours and 25 minutes by the end of the month, with slight variations depending on specific locations across the Emirates.
Extended Outlook
Looking beyond the immediate forecast, the NCM expects the stable weather pattern to continue through much of Ramadan. The Siberian high-pressure system will continue to influence regional weather, though its gradual weakening as spring approaches may allow for occasional variability.
Any significant weather changes would likely come from eastern or western low-pressure systems, but current models suggest these will remain weak and infrequent during the forecast period.
Also Read: Lake Tahoe Avalanche: 10 Skiers Missing, 6 Rescued Near Castle Peak in Sierra Nevada
Conclusion: Comfortable Conditions for Ramadan Observance
Overall, the UAE Ramadan weather forecast for 2026 points to stable, moderate conditions that should support comfortable fasting and evening activities. While daytime temperatures will be warm—particularly inland—they remain within typical March ranges and well below the intense summer heat that will arrive later in the year.
Evenings offer genuine relief, with coastal cities providing pleasant conditions for social gatherings, prayers, and community events. Inland residents can expect refreshing cool nights, though the daytime heat will be more noticeable.
For those planning Ramadan activities—whether community iftars, evening prayers at local mosques, or family gatherings—the weather should cooperate. Pack a light jacket for evening events, stay hydrated during permitted hours, and enjoy the spiritual month under Dubai’s typically clear, pleasant skies.
Daytime warmth. Evening cool. Stable weather for a blessed Ramadan.
